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Valuation

How to value a restaurant or F&B business

GradeThisDeal ResearchJune 8, 20266 min read
Valuation — editorial cover illustration, GradeThisDeal blog

A restaurant or F&B business is typically worth 1.5×–2.5× its seller's discretionary earnings (SDE) in Singapore — among the lowest multiple bands of any industry — because walk-in revenue, lease dependence and key-person cooking skill make F&B earnings the hardest kind to transfer. The craft of valuing one is knowing what pushes a specific outlet toward 1.5× or toward 2.5×.

(The band above is from GradeThisDeal's Singapore F&B reference, SDE-basis, mapped to SSIC 2025 codes with a last-verified date. US buyers: Main Street restaurant deals also clear below the all-industry 2.7× average.)

Start with honest SDE — F&B's add-backs hide in the kitchen

SDE = net profit + one owner's salary + genuinely one-off costs. F&B sellers commonly over-add: family members on the payroll who actually work shifts, "one-off" repairs that recur every 18 months, supplier rebates booked as income. Rebuild SDE from POS data and bank statements, not the seller's spreadsheet.

Worked example — a 60-seat casual restaurant:

LineAmount
RevenueS$1,400,000
Net profitS$120,000
+ Owner-chef salaryS$78,000
+ One-off kitchen flood repairS$22,000
SDES$220,000
Band (1.5–2.5×)S$330K–S$550K

A S$220K spread inside one band — the quality factors below are where the money is.

The five factors that place a restaurant in its band

  1. Rent ratio. Occupancy cost above ~15% of revenue caps profitability forever; under 10% in a comparable location earns a premium.
  2. Lease runway and renewal terms. A 14-month lease with no renewal option can halve a valuation — buyers price the risk that the landlord, not the seller, captures the goodwill. The engine flags short runway explicitly.
  3. Chef dependence. If the owner-chef is the food, SDE includes a salary you must spend twice — once to the seller at closing, once to a head chef forever. (Owner dependence.)
  4. Concept transferability. Licences (liquor, halal certification), franchise terms, and recipes that exist only in someone's head all decide how much earning power actually conveys.
  5. Format. Hawker stalls, bubble-tea/QSR units and full-service restaurants trade differently — Singapore's reference splits them into their own subsector bands.

From GradeThisDeal's Singapore reference (2026): cafés and restaurants trade at roughly 1.5×–2.5× SDE, with quick-service and kiosk formats often changing hands near asset value when earnings are thin.

Sanity checks that catch bad F&B deals

  • Asset floor: thin-margin outlets often sell for fit-out + equipment value, not an earnings multiple at all. If 1.5× SDE is below the orderly asset value, the assets set the price.
  • Financing reality: at typical leverage the deal must cover debt service ~1.5× (DSCR explained); marginal cash flow fails this fast.
  • Staffing quotas (Singapore): service-sector foreign-worker ratios bind hard in F&B — a buyer who can't replicate the seller's crew can't replicate the earnings. (Dependency Ratio Ceiling, explained.)

Score a specific outlet

The free calculator applies the right F&B subsector band, the quality adjustments and the financing math in about two minutes — and shows a fair-value range with a Monte-Carlo distribution rather than one false-precision number.

Screening reference, not a formal valuation. Bands carry last-verified dates — verify before relying on a figure.